With Rising Interest Rates and Record-High Inflation, What’s the Best Way to Protect Your Money?
Stocks are expected to rise. Savings rates will rise. What does this mean for the economy? How much will the Fed raise rates in response to the European Union’s high inflation? And what will happen to the dollar? The original article is available at The Conversation. If you’d like to read the full article, click here. With rising interest rates and record-high inflation, what’s the best way to protect your money?
Stocks will rise
Inflation has been elevated in klikk her months, which is largely driven by pandemic-related dynamics. Although rates have been rising for several years, recent acceleration in the 10-year Treasury yield has some investors concerned. On the other hand, the S&P 500 Index has fared well during prolonged periods of rising rates. In addition, the improving outlook for the US economy should support corporate profits, creating a positive fundamental backdrop for stocks.
The relationship between interest rates and stock prices is more complicated than textbooks would suggest. It is commonly believed that when interest rates rise, stock prices fall. However, a higher interest rate to discount future cash flows more rapidly. This relationship is also complicated by the fact that higher interest rates are generally accompanied by higher economic growth and earnings growth. Therefore, it is not clear whether or not rising rates will cause stocks to rise or fall.
Savings rates will rise
Many experts believe the Fed will continue to raise rates this year, despite the recent report of higher-than-expected inflation. The move comes after May’s higher-than-expected inflation report prompted the Fed to step up its efforts to tame rising costs. Increasing rates theoretically dampen demand for goods and services, but that’s not necessarily the case. Experts expect the Fed to keep raising rates throughout the year, with the impacts felt across savings accounts and debt repayments.
Regardless of the timing, the UK economy faces a tough period ahead. Inflation in the UK rose to 9.4% in March, the third-highest increase on record. A weak economy means that interest rates will rise and consumers’ borrowing costs will increase. Ultimately, this is not a good time to have a fixed-rate mortgage or tracker mortgage. Lenders will tend to increase repayments to reflect higher borrowing costs. However, variable-rate-paying accounts could be an opportunity for savers.
Eurozone is battling high inflation
The ECB has announced a hike in interest rates for the eurozone in July and September after record-high inflation. In June, headline inflation topped 8.6%, beating expectations of 8.4%. Rising food and energy prices have exacerbated the price rises, and a war in Ukraine is adding to the cost of living. Rising interest rates are not the only answer, as the Eurozone is also battling high unemployment and record-high inflation.
Despite rising interest rates, the European Central Bank has signaled plans to raise interest rate levels in July. Economists were expecting a 0.25 percentage-point increase in July. Still, some critics argue the ECB is moving too slowly, especially compared to the US and UK, which have already increased rates. Inflation in Europe has reached an all-time high, and the ECB is unlikely to reverse the trend soon.
Fed raises interest rates to counter it
As consumer prices continue to soar, the Federal Reserve raised the interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point. This is the largest increase in interest rates since 1994, and it comes on the heels of two other rate hikes in the past two months. In addition to the three-quarter-point increase, the Fed also raised its target inflation rate to 2.5% from 2.25%. The hike will affect many consumer and business loans.
The interest rate should be above 8.5 percent to ward off a possible recession, according to the Taylor rule. The target interest rate is two percent, plus 1.5 times inflation over two percent plus the long-term real interest rate. That would make the interest rate 12 percent, according to the Taylor rule. On the other hand, the Fed contemplates raising interest rates by a couple of percentage points by the end of the year.