Sports bets can be quite profitable if a person know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed typically the Western Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Florida had the particular edge in the game. Nevertheless , We also came to the realization that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This sport provides all the indications of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming again from being down major in the next quarter to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the game look like this year?

If this sport were appearing played from a good basic field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, often the included benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like significantly, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that special point might make the variation between a new push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

https://mtherald.net/ gambling may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since December 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points for each game in home. In case an individual don’t do the math, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they already have averaged beating their particular oppositions by simply about thirty four details per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by 13 points per activity at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats were built up during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already possessed recent games that has they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still a close sport to phone. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and not guarantee at all. There happen to be better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s border was not so big which they may still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific game, people serious concerning gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on upcoming games.