Sports playing are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. The most significant secrets that clever money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a excellent illustration. We analyzed often the Western side Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West California had typically the edge in the video game. However , I actually also recognized that there were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This game has all the indicators of being one associated with the best games involving the year, along with each teams coming into the game 7-0. ufabet168.bet/%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2sa ‘s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western Virginia coming back from getting down massive in the final 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

When this video game were being played from the neutral field, West California would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, typically the included bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like much, but in a shut match-up like this, that special point can make the big difference between a new push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since Dec 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. 7 points for every game from home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering their particular last home reduction they already have averaged beating his or her opposing team by simply about thirty four things per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, simply by 13 points per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They already have acquired recent games through which they have already only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a close activity to phone. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off that game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are usually better activities this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big they will may possibly still win following making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this sport, people serious regarding gambling saved money they can offer better use on approaching games.