Sports betting are often very profitable if you know the techniques the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that smart money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had this edge in the video game. Yet , My spouse and i also recognized that there have been a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This game provides all the signs of being one involving the most effective games involving the year, together with each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western Virginia coming rear from being down big in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

When this match were turning into played from the fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that more point might make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since January 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points each game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points per game in home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means due to the fact their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular adversaries by simply about 34 things per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by 13 points per video game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Many of those stats had been built up during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have got recent games through which they have already only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a new close video game to contact. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. 토토사이트 is usually to lay off that game and not really bet at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend with more simple positive aspects.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big which they can still win after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular game, people critical with regards to wagering saved money these people can put to better apply on approaching games.