Sports playing is often very profitable if an individual know the techniques often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. We analyzed this Western Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Va had often the edge in the game. Yet , I actually also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This online game offers all the signs of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming back again from being down large in the next one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport seem like this year?

In the event that this sport were as played in a new natural field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.

คาสิโน of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, the particular extra bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that more point might make the difference between a good push plus a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since 12 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. four points every game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points for each game at home. In case you didn’t do the figures, that means given that their very own last home loss they have already averaged beating his or her opponents by means of about 34 things per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by simply 13 points per game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats had been established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to possessed recent games that has they’ve only scored 35, 12, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still some sort of close activity to phone. But what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this specific game and not gamble at all. There are better video games this quick with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big they will may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular activity, people really serious concerning wagering saved money many people can offer better employ on coming games.