Sports wagering can be quite profitable if you know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. I actually analyzed typically the West Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Las vegas had this edge in the match. Nonetheless We also came to the realization that there was a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West California versus Louisville

This game provides all the signs of being one involving the greatest games of the year, together with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back again from becoming down huge in the final one fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

In case this sport were getting played at a good natural field, West Va would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular included bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a close up match-up such as this, that excess point could make the variation between a new push and even a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since January eighteen, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game in the home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 7 points every game at home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating their own oppositions by means of about thirty four items per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by simply 13 details per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And these video games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a good close activity to call. But what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this specific game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There are better games this quick with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s border weren’t so big they could still win right after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on www.ufabet168.info , people serious regarding sports betting saved money many people can offer better work with on upcoming games.