Sports playing are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. My spouse and i analyzed this Western California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless We also recognized that there have been a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West California or Louisville

This online game offers all the signs of being one involving the greatest games regarding the year, with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back again from getting down large in the next quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

If this activity were being played on the neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like significantly, but in a close up match-up such as this, that extra point might make the variation between the push in addition to a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since Dec 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points each game in home. In case a person did not do the math concepts, that means since his or her last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own oppositions by simply about 34 details per game.

Furthermore impressive, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, simply by 13 items per game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already experienced recent games that has they have already only scored 36, 23, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. Many people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still the close game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily guess at all. There are usually better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. ufabet168.info won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big they may still win right after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular game, people severe concerning wagering saved money many people can put to better employ on forthcoming games.