Sports playing can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. My partner and i analyzed often the West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had the edge in the activity. Nonetheless We also came to the realization that there initially were a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport provides all the indicators of being one of the best games connected with the year, along with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western Virginia coming backside from appearing down huge in the independence day 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

In the event this activity were getting played from a good basic field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up like this, that spare point might make the variation between a good push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since January eighteen, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points each game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points each game from home. In case you did not do the figures, that means since their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own adversaries by about 34 things per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by simply 13 items per game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats have been built up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games in which they have already only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close sport to get in touch with. Yet www.ufabet168.info i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this game and not really wager at all. There will be better game titles this weekend with more simple benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big which they could very well still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific game, people severe with regards to sports betting saved money these people can offer better work with on future games.