Sports wagering are often very profitable if an individual know the techniques the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. We analyzed typically the West Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also realized that there was a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This video game provides all the symptoms of being one associated with the best games of the year, having the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back again from appearing down huge in the next fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event that this match were getting played on a new natural field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, often the additional benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like very much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that more point might make the distinction between a good push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%9E%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%95%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%87 that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since January 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. seven points every game in home. In case anyone decided not to do the math, that means given that their last home reduction they already have averaged beating his or her oppositions by about 34 factors per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by simply 13 things per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Nearly all of those stats had been piled up during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They are yet to acquired recent games through which they also have only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still some sort of close video game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this game and not gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return a punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they could very well still win after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular video game, people significant with regards to wagering saved money that they can offer better make use of on approaching games.