Sports playing can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal example of this. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. 꽁머니 , and concluded the fact that West Virginia had typically the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also understood that there are a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California or Louisville

This sport provides all the indicators of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, with both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western Virginia coming rear from becoming down massive in the final 1 fourth to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the action search like this year?

When this match were getting played at a good simple field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the particular extra added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like substantially, but in a near match-up this way, that excess point can make the difference between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since January 17, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points each game from home. In case an individual did not do the mathematics, that means considering that their particular last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own opposing team by about thirty four factors per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by 13 factors per game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats had been developed during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They also have experienced recent games that has they also have only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still the close game to phone. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off that game and certainly not bet at all. There will be better games this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big that they can may still win right after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular sport, people severe with regards to gambling saved money they can offer better work with on forthcoming games.