Sports gambling is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques often the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a best instance. I actually analyzed this Western Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had the edge in the video game. However , My spouse and i also noticed that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on this kind of game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This video game offers all the signs of being one associated with the very best games regarding the year, with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back again from appearing down large in the independence day 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

In the event this match were being played on a good neutral field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the extra added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like significantly, but in a near match-up this way, that extra point could make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since 12 , 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points per game at home. In case anyone did not do the figures, that means considering their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their own opponents by simply about 34 details per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by way of 13 details per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats were accumulated during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They also have got recent games in which they already have only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a good close match to contact. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this particular game and not bet at all. There usually are better games this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.

토토 with this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border weren’t so big that they can could very well still win following building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of match, people critical about wagering saved money these people can put to better work with on approaching games.